Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Aalesunds 2		Lørenskog

	1	X	2
	4.18	4.04	1.58
	4.26	4.28	1.61	Watch
	4.35	4.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (4.64)	4.21 ↓ (4.5)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds 2
21.3%

Draw
21.6%

Lørenskog
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

20.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

20.1%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lørenskog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lørenskog than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Aalesunds 2 - Lørenskog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Fajfric V. ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, Bal Singh M. P. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Lonebu K. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 2).

Recent matches Aalesunds 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lørenskog is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Lørenskog is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aalesunds 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalesunds 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
22.09.24	Lokomotiv Oslo - Aalesunds 2	3:3 ✺
17.09.24	Aalesunds 2 - Træff	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Aalesunds 2 - Hødd 2	3:1 ✺
03.09.24	Funnefoss Vormsund - Aalesunds 2	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Aalesunds 2 - Skjetten	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWTL
- Lørenskog IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
22.09.24	Lørenskog - Træff	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Hødd 2 - Lørenskog	0:3 ✺
07.09.24	Lørenskog - Spjelkavik	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Skedsmo - Lørenskog	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Lørenskog - Funnefoss Vormsund	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
21.07.24	Lørenskog - Aalesunds 2	5:1
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
21.09.19	Aalesunds 2 - Lørenskog	3:2
05.05.19	Lørenskog - Aalesunds 2	5:3

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