Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Aalesunds 2		Nardo

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.80	3.40
	1.8	4.3	3
	1.75	5.43	2.91
	1.72	5.6	2.98	Watch
	1.73	5.35	2.75
	1.75	5.25	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)	5.12 ↑ (4.46)	2.99 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds 2
52.2%

Draw
17.6%

Nardo
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.1%

20.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

21.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nardo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nardo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aalesunds 2 - Nardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aalesunds 2 will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Kriken D. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Myrlid E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 3 - 0, Djantou I. ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, Johansen M. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th in the Relegation and 7th).

Aalesunds 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nardo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nardo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Aalesunds 2 is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Aalesunds 2 has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 2.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aalesunds 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 2.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nardo	25	10	3	12	66:53	13	33
13	Aalesund 2	25	7	4	14	45:70	-25	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
18.10.26	Aalesunds 2 - Byåsen	3:3 ✺
12.10.26	Melhus - Aalesunds 2	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Aalesunds 2 - NTNUI	1:3 ✺
25.09.26	Aalesunds 2 - Rosenborg II	1:7 ✺
20.09.26	Orkla FK - Aalesunds 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWLLT
- Nardo FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
17.10.26	Nardo - Herd	11:0 ✺
10.10.26	Byåsen - Nardo	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Nardo - Strindheim	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	NTNUI - Nardo	2:5 ✺
21.09.26	Nardo - Ranheim 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
19.04.26	Nardo - Aalesunds 2	5:1
14.09.25	Aalesunds 2 - Nardo	4:1
29.04.25	Nardo - Aalesunds 2	2:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
14.09.15	Aalesunds 2 - Nardo	1:0

Aalesunds 2 - Nardo