Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Aalesunds 2		Nardo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.8	2.2
	1.00	15.08	25.00	Watch
	2.96	3.9	1.98
	2.3	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.3)	6.63 ↑ (3.75)	7.9 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aalesunds 2
62.3%

Draw
20.5%

Nardo
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

23.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds 2's performance.

Nardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalesunds 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aalesunds 2 - Nardo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Aalesunds 2 (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalesunds 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Lonebu K. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Leikanger T. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Lonebu K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 4 - 0, von Lowensprung M. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Austberg I. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Nardo has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aalesunds 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aalesunds 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
06.09.25	Tiller - Aalesunds 2	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Aalesunds 2 - Melhus	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Aalesunds 2 - Surnadal IL	4:0 ✺
11.08.25	Volda - Aalesunds 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Nardo FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
06.09.25	Nardo - Ranheim 2	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Nardo - Spjelkavik	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Tiller - Nardo	2:3 ✺
18.08.25	Nardo - Kristiansund 2	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
13.08.25	Nardo - Levanger	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
29.04.25	Nardo - Aalesunds 2	2:3
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 4
14.09.15	Aalesunds 2 - Nardo	1:0

Aalesunds 2 - Nardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide