Match Info

Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 24

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Nardo		Herd

	1	X	2
	1.29	6.00	6.00
	1.26	5.35	7.00
	1.24	5.57	7.50
	1.36	5.2	6.1	Watch
	1.22	5.50	7.40
	1.37	5.38	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	5.5 ↑ (5.4)	6.69 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nardo
70.1%

Draw
16.4%

Herd
13.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.4%

17%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

16.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Herd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nardo than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herd than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Nardo - Herd Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (8 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Nordland U. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Ileby K. V. ⚽,
13', 3 - 0, Tonne E. ⚽,
33', 4 - 0, Kahsay Y. ⚽,
36', 5 - 0, Kahsay Y. ⚽,
42', 6 - 0, Nordland U. ⚽,
44', 7 - 0, Kahsay Y. ⚽,
45', 8 - 0, Bye B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 9 - 0, Rian H. ⚽,
62', 10 - 0, Ahmed M. ⚽,
80', 11 - 0, Halvorsen K. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 6th).

Nardo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Herd has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nardo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Nardo is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Nardo in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nardo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nardo	25	10	3	12	66:53	13	33
8	Herd	25	9	5	11	49:60	-11	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nardo FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
10.10.26	Byåsen - Nardo	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Nardo - Strindheim	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	NTNUI - Nardo	2:5 ✺
21.09.26	Nardo - Ranheim 2	4:1 ✺
13.09.26	Rosenborg II - Nardo	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLWWW
- SK Herd
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
09.10.26	Herd - Spjelkavik	2:1 ✺
02.10.26	Molde 2 - Herd	6:2 ✺
26.09.26	Herd - Kvik	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Byåsen - Herd	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	Herd - Orkla FK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
13.06.26	Herd - Nardo	4:1

Nardo - Herd