Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday


	Aalesunds 2		Skedsmo

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.64	4.74	Watch
	1.62	4.75	3.5
	1.49	4.5	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.82)	4.63 ↑ (4.5)	4.39 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalesunds 2
59.4%

Draw
19.8%

Skedsmo
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

20.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

19.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalesunds 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aalesunds 2's performance.

Skedsmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Skedsmo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalesunds 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skedsmo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Skedsmo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aalesunds 2 - Skedsmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Melland H. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Aasen B. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Melland H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 2 - 2, Risberget E. ⚽,
52', Diop M. 🟥,
60', 2 - 3, Risberget E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Aalesunds 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Skedsmo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aalesunds 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aalesunds 2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aalesunds 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
04.08.24	Spjelkavik - Aalesunds 2	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Aalesunds 2 - Bjørkelangen Høland	0:2 ✺
21.07.24	Lørenskog - Aalesunds 2	5:1 ✺
20.06.24	Aalesunds 2 - Molde 2	1:3 ✺
17.06.24	Skedsmo - Aalesunds 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Skedsmo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
03.08.24	Skedsmo - Træff	0:1 ✺
27.07.24	Gjelleråsen - Skedsmo	2:2 ✺
22.07.24	Skedsmo - Molde 2	2:4 ✺
22.06.24	Hødd 2 - Skedsmo	2:2 ✺
17.06.24	Skedsmo - Aalesunds 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
17.06.24	Skedsmo - Aalesunds 2	3:0

Aalesunds 2 - Skedsmo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide