Match Info

DENMARK: 2nd Division

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Riisvangen (Aarhus)


	Aarhus Fremad		Hellerup

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.25
	1.41	4.6	6.7
	1.38	4.83	6.96
	1.41	4.72	6.89	Watch
	1.5	4	5
	1.39	4.75	6.71
	1.41	4.6	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.55)	4.53 ↑ (4.3)	6.32 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus Fremad
65%

Draw
20.4%

Hellerup
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

21.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus Fremad's performance.

Hellerup has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hellerup than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Aarhus Fremad - Hellerup Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pena B. (G) 8. Baekgard S. 6. Grube F. 16. Holvad A. 17. Kirchheiner M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 11. Lunding K. 9. Mikkelsen T. 5. Nissen E. 29. Segun 15. Torp F. J.	27. Thorup O. (G) 4. Bedzeti H. 3. Chernet D. 7. Christensen L. 15. Friis Enggaard V. A. 10. Garly A. 17. Kruse M. 8. Mehanovic I. 11. Olsen M. 6. Thomsen E. 23. Valdbjorn F.
Substitutes
22. Buch S. 14. de Claville Berthelsen M. 34. Denius S. 2. Junge E. 10. Mortensen E. 30. Vedel-Birch Andersen C. (G) 19. Wagner L.	22. Acunto-de Lorenzo E. 12. Berg Ottesen M. 14. Christensen V. 34. Dedes V. 5. Moller O. 99. Nielsen G. (G) 70. Rindom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Lunding K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus Fremad won 3.

Aarhus Fremad is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hellerup is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aarhus Fremad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aarhus Fremad is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Aarhus Fremad won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus Fremad won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Fremad
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.24	VSK Aarhus - Aarhus Fremad	2:1 ✺
Danish 2 Division
30.08.24	Aarhus Fremad - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	AB Copenhagen - Aarhus Fremad	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Aarhus Fremad - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Middelfart - Aarhus Fremad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWL
- Hellerup IK
Danish 2 Division
30.08.24	Hellerup - Nykøbing	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Næstved BK - Hellerup	1:3 ✺
16.08.24	Hellerup - Ishøj IF	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Skive IK - Hellerup	1:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.08.24	Hellerup - Roskilde	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
04.11.23	Aarhus Fremad - Hellerup	3:2
30.09.23	Hellerup - Aarhus Fremad	3:3
19.11.22	Hellerup - Aarhus Fremad	1:3
15.10.22	Aarhus Fremad - Hellerup	2:1
26.03.22	Hellerup - Aarhus Fremad	2:1
09.10.21	Aarhus Fremad - Hellerup	4:1
Danish 2 Division - Promotion Group
01.07.20	Hellerup - Aarhus Fremad	1:5

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