The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aarhus Fremad 38.5%
Draw 26.4%
Hillerød 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
26.5%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
26.3%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus Fremad's performance.
Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hillerød might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarhus Fremad that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hillerød could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Aarhus Fremad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Hillerød will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kiilerich K. (G) 10. Kirchheiner M. 4. Pisani A. 29. Segun 21. de Claville Berthelsen M. 28. Egerton E. 8. Baekgard S. 3. Agnarsson M. 11. Lunding K. 9. Andersen K. 17. Kubel M.
1. Kappenberger A. (G) 21. Enghardt K. 7. Witt J. 2. Moller R. 3. Allen C. 11. Mouritz M. 12. Schmidt N. 24. Dedes V. 8. Arndal T. 9. Etim M. 17. Justinussen A.
Substitutes
23. Andreasen O. 70. Beluli J. 6. Grube F. 20. Hjaltason O. 30. Hojbjerg V. (G) 16. Holvad A. 7. Kaastrup M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 2. Kjolby M.
34. Alicino A. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 26. Dithmer A. (G) 22. Jalaei S. 19. Lyshoj J. 16. Toftegaard H. 23. Veltz M. 6. Voigt M. 14. Wilmerskov N.
Coaches
Dahm Kjaergaard M.
Lonstrup C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Andersen K. ⚽, Agnarsson M. (A),
29', Dedes V. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Andersen K. ⚽, Kubel M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Enghardt K. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Justinussen A. ⚽, Jalaei S. (A),
56', Baekgard S. 🟨,
60', 3 - 1, Andersen K. ⚽, Lunding K. (A),
60', Etim M. ↓, Veltz M. ↑,
60', Dedes V. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
68', Segun ↓, Kirchheiner M. ↑,
68', Kubel M. ↓, Kaastrup M. ↑,
68', Egerton E. ↓, Hjaltason O. ↑,
68', de Claville Berthelsen M. ↓, Grube F. ↑,
70', Arndal T. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
84', Schmidt N. ↓, Lyshoj J. ↑,
85', Kirchheiner M. ↓, Kjolby M. ↑,
90+2', Kaastrup M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
Recent performances by Aarhus Fremad have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hillerød is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hillerød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus Fremad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).