Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Abha		Al-Arabi Al-Saudi

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.9
	1.71	3.83	4.48	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	3.96 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abha
51.6%

Draw
25.3%

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

26.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Al-Arabi Al-Saudi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Arabi Al-Saudi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Abha - Al Arabi Al Saudi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Abha will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Abha will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Jadani A. (C) 12. Ibrahim Y. Y. 3. Gaari J. 19. Al Fahad A. 79. Al Jayzani F. 6. Taira A. 11. Muralha 28. Al Mutairi B. 66. Al Mousa H. 10. Al Mutairi M. 88. Sow S.	44. Al Mushawh A. (G) 70. Daqarshawi A. 17. Abed A. 3. Sheldon 12. Al Jaadi T. 2. Al Masoudi A. 6. Al Haribi A. 32. Al Bishi B. 20. Ciss A. 10. Waheeb W. (C) 7. Al Sufyani M.
Substitutes
4. Abuyabes M. 45. Akjah M. (G) 21. Al Bouq A. (G) 18. Al Hamsal M. 93. Al Manhali S. 80. Al Tarif D. 25. Asiri W. 17. Bunayyan M. 95. Mubarki A.	1. Al Bahrani B. (G) 16. Albuhassan M. 99. Al Mayad A. 34. Al Rashidi M. (G) 47. Al Salem M. 49. Al Sawadi S. 26. Al Zaqan A. 55. Housawi A. 9. Vinicius Araujo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Taira A. 🟨,
39', Al Haribi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Al Masoudi A. ↓, Al Zaqan A. ↑,
47', Sheldon 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Sow S. (Pen),
61', Waheeb W. ↓, Al Sawadi S. ↑,
61', Al Sufyani M. ↓, Al Mayad A. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Al Mutairi M. ⚽, Taira A. (A),
68', Ciss A. 🟨,
69', Al Mutairi B. 🟨,
75', 3 - 0, Sow S. ⚽, Al Mousa H. (A),
79', Al Haribi A. ↓, Albuhassan M. ↑,
80', Al Mushawh A. 🟨,
86', Sheldon (Pen),
89', Ciss A. ↓, Al Salem M. ↑,
90+5', Ibrahim Y. Y. ↓, Asiri W. ↑,
90+5', Al Mutairi B. ↓, Al Manhali S. ↑,
90+5', Muralha ↓, Mubarki A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Abha is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Abha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Abha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
21.10.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Abha	2:3 ✺
03.10.25	Al-Zulfi - Abha	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Abha - Al-Orobah	2:3 ✺
Saudi King Cup
22.09.25	Abha - Al-Shabab Riyadh	2:3 penalties ✺
Saudi Division 1
16.09.25	Al-Jabalain - Abha	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLW
- Al-Arabi Al-Saudi
Saudi Division 1
22.10.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al Raed	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Ula	0:1 ✺
16.09.25	Al-Faisaly - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	0:0 ✺
11.09.25	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Al-Anwar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
28.01.25	Abha - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	1:0
27.08.24	Al-Arabi Al-Saudi - Abha	1:2

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