Match Info

Division 1 - Round 32

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Saudi-arabia	Aloula


	Abha		Al-Najma

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	2.95	3.45	2.11
	3.04	3.78	2.12
	2.96	3.62	2.11	Watch
	3.34	3.51	2.06
	2.95	3.45	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.25)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.13 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Abha
30.8%

Draw
26.1%

Al-Najma
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

26.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abha's form might have worsened.

Al-Najma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Najma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Najma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Abha - Al Najma Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Al-Najma will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Abha (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Abha (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Abha will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Abha (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Al-Najma (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Badamosi M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Recent performances by Abha have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Najma is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Al-Najma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Abha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
29.04.25	Al-Jabalain - Abha	3:1 ✺
23.04.25	Abha - Al Jandal	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Al-Safa - Abha	2:2 ✺
10.04.25	Abha - Al-Zulfi	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Adalh - Abha	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTW
- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Division 1
30.04.25	Al-Najma - Al-Bukayriyah	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Al-Najma - Al-Jabalain	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Jeddah - Al-Najma	0:1 ✺
08.04.25	Al Hazem - Al-Najma	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Najma - Al Jubail	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
06.01.25	Al-Najma - Abha	3:0

Upcoming Matches