Match Info

Division 1 - Round 29

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Al-Safa		Abha

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.49
	5	3.85	1.56
	5.91	3.9	1.59
	5.34	3.77	1.57	Watch
	5	4	1.5
	5.26	3.85	1.54	Watch
	5	3.85	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (2.95)	3.87 ↑ (3.35)	1.54 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Safa
17.4%

Draw
23.5%

Abha
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Safa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Safa's form might have worsened.

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Abha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Safa than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Safa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Abha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Al Safa - Abha Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Abha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Abha (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Abha (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Al Saleem S. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Al Sahlawi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 2 - 1, Al Shammeri A. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Al Mutairi M. ⚽,
90+5', Al Nashmi S. 🟥,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Al-Safa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Abha is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Abha is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Al-Safa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Safa Saudi
Saudi Division 1
10.04.25	Al-Safa - Al-Faisaly	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Ohud Medina - Al-Safa	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Al-Batin - Al-Safa	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Al-Safa - Al-Taee	1:4 ✺
03.03.25	Neom - Al-Safa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
10.04.25	Abha - Al-Zulfi	1:1 ✺
04.04.25	Al-Adalh - Abha	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Abha - Al Jubail	4:0 ✺
10.03.25	Jeddah - Abha	0:0 ✺
04.03.25	Abha - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
04.12.24	Abha - Al-Safa	1:0
13.12.14	Abha - Al-Safa	1:1

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