Match Info

Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Abha		Al-Taee

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.55
	1.81	3.61	3.78	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.87	3.64	3.84	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.56)	3.47 ↓ (3.88)	3.75 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abha
49.4%

Draw
26.3%

Al-Taee
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

23.6%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Abha's form might have worsened.

Al-Taee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Taee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Abha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Taee than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Taee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Abha - Al Taee Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Abha will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Al-Taee will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Abha: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Abha (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Taee (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Jadani A. (C) 66. Al Mousa H. 3. Gaari J. 4. Abuyabes M. 23. Al Oufi M. 14. Al Ghamdi F. 6. Taira A. 79. Al Jayzani F. 11. Muralha 10. Al Mutairi M. 88. Sow S.	22. Al Ammar A. (G) 44. Al Mutair M. 5. Haquin L. (C) 26. Al Hamad F. 88. Al Nakhli I. 6. Halilovic D. 18. Al Senan Y. 80. Al Johani S. 70. Al Shamlan R. 10. Al Harthi A. M. 9. Knoll T.
Substitutes
21. Al Bouq A. (G) 8. Al Daajani N. 18. Al Hamsal M. 93. Al Manhali S. 20. Al Shammari H. 9. Al Sulays H. 80. Al Tarif D. 25. Asiri W. 95. Mubarki A.	12. Al Alawi A. 21. Al Azmi B. 15. Al Habib H. 27. Al Hamyani A. 87. Ali Al Shaya A. 23. Al Quamiri N. 11. Al Saiari M. 29. Al Shammari S. 32. Khalil A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Al Mutair M. 🟨,
17', Al Mousa H. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Al Ghamdi F. ⚽, Sow S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Al Mutair M. ↓, Al Quamiri N. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Sow S. ⚽,
54', Al Harthi A. M. 🟨,
63', Al Harthi A. M. ↓, Al Habib H. ↑,
73', Taira A. ↓, Al Daajani N. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Knoll T. ⚽, Al Habib H. (A),
79', Haquin L. 🟨,
83', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Sulays H. ↑,
83', Abuyabes M. ↓, Al Manhali S. ↑,
84', Al Hamad F. 🟨,
87', Al Johani S. ↓, Al Alawi A. ↑,
87', Halilovic D. ↓, Al Hamyani A. ↑,
87', Al Hamad F. ↓, Al Saiari M. ↑,
90+4', Al Mutairi M. 🟨,
90+8', Muralha ↓, Asiri W. ↑,
90+9', Al Oufi M. ↓, Al Shammari H. ↑,
90+9', Al Jayzani F. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 1, Al Mutairi M. ⚽, Al Mousa H. (A),
90+12', Gaari J. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abha won 1.

Abha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Al-Taee has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Abha is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Abha won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
21.12.25	Jeddah - Abha	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Abha - Al-Ula	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Abha - Al-Bukayriyah	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Al Jubail - Abha	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Abha - Al Jandal	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWTWW
- Al-Taee
Saudi Division 1
20.12.25	Al-Taee - Al-Faisaly	0:4 ✺
12.12.25	Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Taee	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Al-Taee - Al-Jabalain	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Al-Anwar - Al-Taee	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Al-Taee - Al-Wahda Mecca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Division 1
12.05.25	Abha - Al-Taee	0:1
12.01.25	Al-Taee - Abha	2:1
Saudi Professional League
01.03.24	Abha - Al-Taee	2:0
01.09.23	Al-Taee - Abha	1:0
27.04.23	Al-Taee - Abha	1:0
16.12.22	Abha - Al-Taee	2:1
04.03.22	Abha - Al-Taee	1:0

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