Match Info

Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Abha		Al-Ula

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.2	2.78
	2.27	3.38	3.02
	2.24	3.4	2.84	Watch
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.36	3.16	2.68
	2.22	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.51)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)	2.87 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abha
40.1%

Draw
28.2%

Al-Ula
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.4%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Al-Ula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Abha - Al Ula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Al Jadani A. (C) 12. Ibrahim Y. Y. 3. Gaari J. 19. Al Fahad A. 24. Al Zahrani H. 6. Taira A. 14. Al Ghamdi F. 20. Al Shammari H. 11. Muralha 10. Al Mutairi M. 88. Sow S.	33. Al Owais M. (C) 14. Al Jumaiya F. 66. Al Ruwaili K. 24. Al Dohaim A. 12. Al Shamrani K. 8. Al Sulaiheem A. 5. Danilo Barbosa 10. Guanca C. 20. Traore A. 29. Al Majhad M. 9. Koulouris E.
Substitutes
4. Abuyabes M. 21. Al Bouq A. (G) 8. Al Daajani N. 93. Al Manhali S. 66. Al Mousa H. 23. Al Oufi M. 9. Al Sulays H. 25. Asiri W. 95. Mubarki A.	45. Al Asmari F. 55. Al Hadhood N. 99. Al Jizani F. 1. Al Jubaya A. (G) 7. Al Khulaif A. 27. Al Shamrani H. 49. Al Zain A. 2. Al Zubaidi A. 4. Haqawi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Ibrahim Y. Y. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
35', Al Ruwaili K. 🟨,
42', Traore A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Al Fahad A. ↓, Abuyabes M. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Al Ruwaili K. (Own goal),
60', 2 - 0, Sow S. ⚽, Al Mutairi M. (A),
62', Al Shammari H. ↓, Al Daajani N. ↑,
64', Al Majhad M. ↓, Al Khulaif A. ↑,
64', Guanca C. ↓, Al Jizani F. ↑,
87', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Manhali S. ↑,
87', Al Zahrani H. ↓, Asiri W. ↑,
87', Al Ruwaili K. ↓, Al Asmari F. ↑,
90+3', Al Asmari F. 🟨,
90+4', Taira A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).

Abha has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al-Ula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
27.11.25	Abha - Al-Bukayriyah	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Al Jubail - Abha	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Abha - Al Jandal	4:1 ✺
03.11.25	Al-Anwar - Abha	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Abha - Al-Arabi Al-Saudi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWW
- Al-Ula FC
Saudi Division 1
27.11.25	Al-Adalh - Al-Ula	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Al-Ula - Jeddah	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Al-Orobah - Al-Ula	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Al-Ula - Al-Faisaly	2:2 ✺
27.10.25	Al-Taee - Al-Ula	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTWTW

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