Match Info

NPFL - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Umuahia Township Stadium (Umuahia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Abia Warriors		Barau

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.4	8.5
	1.35	3.99	9.75	Watch
	1.44	4.03	7.23
	1.33	4.1	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	3.88 ↓ (3.99)	8.77 ↓ (9.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abia Warriors
66%

Draw
23.6%

Barau
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

22.9%

9.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

12.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abia Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Barau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abia Warriors than the current prediction. (-29.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Abia Warriors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barau than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Abia Warriors - Barau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okiemute O. (G) 8. Abdullahi F. 30. Adeleke K. 16. Azubuike C. 19. Godwin I. 18. Innocent G. 26. Jibrin F. 12. Megwo S. (C) 20. Obioma C. 10. Samson P. 25. Somiari A.	1. Ali S. (G) 35. Ambrose J. 11. Anthony S. 26. Chukwudi Oganbor S. 3. Duah B. 25. Ekawu H. 33. Nura I. 14. Okoko E. 37. Ponkap O. 22. Sugau A. 30. Yahaya I.
Substitutes
6. Asiegbu S. 13. Hammed Y. 22. Ishaku A. (G) 37. Joseph I. 4. Kangeshima M. 2. Njoku C. 34. Ogunjimi S. 7. Suraju L. 15. Wilson E.	28. Abdullahi K. 7. Enaruna M. 18. Idoko M. S. 16. Kemin J. 10. Kwame A. N. 8. Maidubuji U. 2. Okagube O. K. 4. Umar Y. 21. Yusuf A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Obioma C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Obioma C. ↓, Suraju L. ↑,
46', Innocent G. ↓, Njoku C. ↑,
51', Megwo S. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Megwo S. ⚽,
62', Samson P. ↓, Joseph I. ↑,
77', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Abia Warriors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Abia Warriors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Barau has had a series of away games.

In this match, Abia Warriors is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abia Warriors
Nigerian Premier League
19.10.25	Shooting Stars - Abia Warriors	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Abia Warriors - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Enugu Rangers - Abia Warriors	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Abia Warriors - Remo Stars	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
28.09.25	Djoliba - Abia Warriors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- Barau FC
Nigerian Premier League
12.10.25	Plateau United - Barau	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Barau - Warri Wolves	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kun Khalifa - Barau	1:3 ✺
14.09.25	Ikorodu City - Barau	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Bayelsa United - Barau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLL

Abia Warriors - Barau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide