Match Info

NPFL - Round 19

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Bako Kontagora Stadium (Minna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Niger Tornadoes		Barau

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	4.95
	1.73	3.03	5.54	Watch
	1.73	2.9	5
	1.77	3.22	4.93
	1.63	3.14	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.46)	3.08 ↓ (3.5)	5.08 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niger Tornadoes
52.8%

Draw
29.4%

Barau
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

25.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

26%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niger Tornadoes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niger Tornadoes's form might have worsened.

Barau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barau's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niger Tornadoes than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niger Tornadoes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barau than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Niger Tornadoes - Barau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Niger Tornadoes will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Niger Tornadoes (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Emmanuel I. (G) 13. Ahmadu L. 5. Akinmoladun S. 33. Azeez A. 7. Dabai A. 20. Dalhatu A. 15. Family A. 10. Jephta C. 18. Khalid A. 22. Oloye F. 4. Sabiu I.	24. Nwabulu E. (G) 28. Abdullahi K. 35. Ambrose J. 26. Chukwudi Oganbor S. 13. Dapma S. 3. Duah B. 8. Maidubuji U. 33. Nura I. (C) 2. Okagube O. K. 14. Okoko E. 20. Tijjani S.
Substitutes
36. Abubakar H. 8. Ebong K. 2. Etim M. 31. Godwin D. (G) 30. Godwin J. 40. Mendos R. 29. Musa A. 39. Najeeb I. 14. Okoye I.	36. Abdul N. 9. Aminu A. 25. Ekawu H. 39. Hussain A. 10. Kwame A. N. 29. Mamman J. 23. Mohammed S. 4. Umar Y. 21. Yusuf A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Dalhatu A. 🟨,
15', Abdullahi K. 🟨,
20', Okoko E. 🟨,
30', Nura I. ↓, Umar Y. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Dalhatu A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 2 - 0, Mendos R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Niger Tornadoes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barau is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Niger Tornadoes is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niger Tornadoes
Nigerian Premier League
21.12.25	Shooting Stars - Niger Tornadoes	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Niger Tornadoes - El-Kanemi Warriors	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kwara United - Niger Tornadoes	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Niger Tornadoes - Remo Stars	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Niger Tornadoes - Katsina United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- Barau FC
Nigerian Premier League
23.12.25	Nasarawa United - Barau	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Barau - Rivers United	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Barau - Kwara United	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Remo Stars - Barau	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Barau - Enugu Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TWWLW

Niger Tornadoes - Barau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide