Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 30

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Acero		Hércules B

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	4.2
	1.67	3.4	4.55
	1.7	3.45	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.1)	3.32 ↑ (2.93)	4.52 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acero
53.1%

Draw
27.1%

Hércules B
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Acero's performance.

Hércules B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hércules B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acero than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Acero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules B than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Acero - Hércules B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Acero won 1.

Acero is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hércules B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Acero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Acero is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Acero won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Acero won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.04.23	Villarreal C - Acero	3:1 ✺
07.04.23	Acero - Atzeneta	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Gandía - Acero	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Acero - Patacona	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Castellon B - Acero	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTTT
- Hércules B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
16.04.23	Hércules B - Silla	1:0 ✺
09.04.23	Torrent - Hércules B	5:0 ✺
01.04.23	Hércules B - Torrellano	4:3 ✺
26.03.23	Orihuela - Hércules B	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Levante B - Hércules B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.01.23	Hércules B - Acero	2:1
12.03.22	Hércules B - Acero	1:1
06.11.21	Acero - Hércules B	1:0
15.05.21	Acero - Hércules B	2:2
11.04.21	Hércules B - Acero	1:0
15.12.19	Acero - Hércules B	3:1

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