Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Acero		Ontinyent 1931

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.25
	3.21	2.84	2.27
	3.21	2.84	2.27
	3.13	3	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↓ (3.68)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acero
28.8%

Draw
31.2%

Ontinyent 1931
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

30.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

30%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Ontinyent 1931 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ontinyent 1931 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acero than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ontinyent 1931 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Acero - Ontinyent 1931 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Acero is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ontinyent 1931 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ontinyent 1931 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ontinyent 1931 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.01.24	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Acero - Utiel	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Levante B - Acero	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Acero - Burriana	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Atzeneta - Acero	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTTL
- Ontinyent 1931 CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.01.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Roda	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Rayo Ibense - Ontinyent 1931	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Ontinyent 1931 - Silla	2:0 ✺
26.11.23	Ontinyent 1931 - Villarreal C	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Elche Ilicitano - Ontinyent 1931	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWLL

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