Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 14

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Acero		Utiel

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.65
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.52	2.95	2.7
	2.52	2.95	2.7
	2.51	2.99	2.71
	2.6	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.66 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acero
35.7%

Draw
30.3%

Utiel
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.1%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Utiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acero than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Acero - Utiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

Acero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Utiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Utiel have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
03.12.23	Levante B - Acero	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Acero - Burriana	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	Atzeneta - Acero	4:1 ✺
12.11.23	Acero - Torrellano	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Castellonense - Acero	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT
- CD Utiel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
03.12.23	Utiel - Roda	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Rayo Ibense - Utiel	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Utiel - Silla	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Utiel - Elche Ilicitano	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Utiel - Villarreal C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW

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