Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Acerrana		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	3.06	3.09	2.26	Watch
	2.63	2.98	2.54
	2.71	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.09)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.42 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acerrana
32.5%

Draw
29.8%

Afragolese
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acerrana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acerrana's form might have worsened.

Afragolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afragolese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acerrana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afragolese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Acerrana - Afragolese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
61', 0 - 2, ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, ⚽,
73', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Acerrana is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Afragolese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Afragolese has had a series of home games.

Acerrana might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acerrana 1926
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Nola - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Acerrana - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Gravina - Acerrana	4:1 ✺
28.09.25	Acerrana - Città di Fasano	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Paganese - Acerrana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTL
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.10.25	Afragolese - Barletta	3:2 ✺
12.10.25	Nardo - Afragolese	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Afragolese - Manfredonia	2:1 ✺
24.09.25	Afragolese - Pompei	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Afragolese - Sarnese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL

Acerrana - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide