Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aceuchal		Extremadura UD B

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.25	3
	2.43	2.16	3.65
	2.55	2.27	3.35
	2.65	2.24	3.32
	2.58	2.25	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (4.91)	2.23 ↓ (3.03)	3.44 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aceuchal
34.2%

Draw
39.9%

Extremadura UD B
25.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18%

29.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

24.1%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aceuchal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aceuchal's performance.

Extremadura UD B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Extremadura UD B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aceuchal than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aceuchal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Extremadura UD B than the current prediction. (+38.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Extremadura UD B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aceuchal - Extremadura UD B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Extremadura UD B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aceuchal will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aceuchal won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aceuchal won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EMD Aceuchal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
05.12.21	Badajoz B - Aceuchal	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Aceuchal - Miajadas	0:4 ✺
21.11.21	Olivenza - Aceuchal	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Aceuchal - Diocesano	0:1 ✺
06.11.21	Llerenense - Aceuchal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TLTLT
- Extremadura UD B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.12.21	Extremadura UD B - Jerez	2:1 ✺
28.11.21	Arroyo - Extremadura UD B	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	Extremadura UD B - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Extremadura UD B - Moralo	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Badajoz B - Extremadura UD B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.12.20	Extremadura UD B - Aceuchal	2:2
14.12.19	Aceuchal - Extremadura UD B	3:1
20.01.19	Aceuchal - Extremadura UD B	1:1
02.09.18	Extremadura UD B - Aceuchal	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.12.17	Aceuchal - Extremadura UD B	2:0

Aceuchal - Extremadura UD B

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aceuchal - Extremadura UD B Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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