Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Extremadura UD B		Jerez

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.8	2.88	2.25
	2.85	2.9	2.3
	2.77	2.95	2.36
	3.14	3.16	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.06)	3 ↓ (3.1)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD B
31.6%

Draw
29.8%

Jerez
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

21.6%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Extremadura UD B than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Extremadura UD B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jerez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Extremadura UD B - Jerez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Extremadura UD B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jerez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Extremadura UD B won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Extremadura UD B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.11.21	Arroyo - Extremadura UD B	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	Extremadura UD B - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Extremadura UD B - Moralo	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Badajoz B - Extremadura UD B	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Extremadura UD B - Miajadas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLW
- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.11.21	Jerez - Badajoz B	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Miajadas - Jerez	3:2 ✺
14.11.21	Jerez - Olivenza	3:0 ✺
31.10.21	Jerez - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
10.10.21	Calamonte - Jerez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.12.19	Jerez - Extremadura UD B	0:2
17.03.19	Extremadura UD B - Jerez	4:1
28.10.18	Jerez - Extremadura UD B	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.03.18	Jerez - Extremadura UD B	3:1

Extremadura UD B - Jerez

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD B - Jerez Predictions

Preview

Form

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