Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday


	Adıyaman		Bornova

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.75	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.75	Watch
	4	3.6	1.75
	3.8	3.7	1.7
	4.2	3.8	1.75	Watch
	2.25	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.23)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	1.93 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adıyaman
25.4%

Draw
26.1%

Bornova
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

27.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adıyaman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adıyaman's form might have worsened.

Bornova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bornova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adıyaman than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adıyaman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bornova than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bornova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	3.8%	96.2%

Adıyaman - Bornova Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Bornova will win (votes: 51 - 96.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bornova: 91.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Recent matches Adıyaman is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bornova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bornova could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bornova have a series of home games.

Bornova will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adıyaman FK
Turkish Second League White Group
08.10.23	Adıyaman - Altınordu	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Nazillispor - Adıyaman	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Adıyaman - Ankaraspor	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Karacabey Belediyespor - Adıyaman	0:1 ✺
10.09.23	Adıyaman - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLLWT
- Bornova FK
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
08.10.23	Bornova - Fatsa Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
26.09.23	Bornova - Akhisar Belediyespor	4:0 ✺
Turkish 3 Lig Group 3
23.09.23	Bornova - Osmaniyespor	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Karaköprü - Bornova	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Bornova - Bayburt İl Özel İdare	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWLW

Adıyaman - Bornova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide