Match Info

2. Lig Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Adana 1954		Elazığspor

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.87	2.65
	2.68	2.88	2.72
	2.62	2.95	2.78
	2.61	3	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.63
	2.58	2.8	2.72
	2.5	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.5)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.65 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana 1954
35.1%

Draw
30.9%

Elazığspor
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana 1954 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Elazığspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adana 1954 than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (+5%)

Adana 1954 - Elazığspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Demirtas T. 🟥,
35', 0 - 1, Soy E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Sonmez H. ⚽, Cam S. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Besir M. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Celebi A. (Own goal),
78', 2 - 3, Kurt M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 2 - 4, Altinoz A. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Adana 1954 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Elazığspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Adana 1954 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 4:2).

Including home match between the teams, Adana 1954 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana 1954 FK
Turkish Second League White Group
19.04.26	24 Erzincanspor - Adana 1954	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Adana 1954 - Iskenderunspor	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Erbaaspor - Adana 1954	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Adana 1954 - İnegölspor	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Kepez Belediyesi - Adana 1954	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWW
- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League White Group
19.04.26	Iskenderunspor - Elazığspor	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	Elazığspor - Erbaaspor	3:0 ✺
08.04.26	İnegölspor - Elazığspor	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Elazığspor - Kepez Belediyesi	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Bucaspor 1928 - Elazığspor	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
11.01.26	Adana 1954 - Elazığspor	4:0
24.08.25	Elazığspor - Adana 1954	4:4

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