Match Info

Super Lig - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Kolak B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Adana Demirspor		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	11	6.5	1.18	Watch
	10.5	6.75	1.22
	13.19	7.82	1.16	Watch
	9.69	6.81	1.23
	11.62	7.16	1.21	Watch
	11	6.5	1.22
	11.3	7.24	1.22	Watch
	13.19	7.82	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.44 ↑ (7.86)	7.08 ↑ (5.22)	1.2 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adana Demirspor
8.2%

Draw
13.3%

Göztepe
78.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

18%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

15.8%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Göztepe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Göztepe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	27.3%	45.5%

Adana Demirspor - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Adana Demirspor will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Göztepe will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Adana Demirspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Göztepe (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Donmezer D. (G) 16. Celik I. 55. Kalender T. 24. Ersoy B. 23. Burak A. 80. Kol A. 21. Balat B. 58. Maestro 8. Aydogan T. 60. Demirbag O. 11. Barasi Y.	97. Lis M. (G) 23. Bayir F. 4. Altikardes T. 22. Gunter K. 24. Nielsen L. 8. Ildiz A. 16. Dennis A. 30. Sangare N. 43. Tijanic D. 9. Kanatsizkus K. 79. Romulo Cardoso
Substitutes
22. Aktas A. 10. Alioui N. 17. Aymbetov A. 53. Demirkiran Y. B. 94. Duyur S. A. 25. Eser M. (G) 93. Fougeu B. 39. Karakus V. (G) 87. Kaynak O. 12. Sarikaya A.	27. Araz E. E. 77. Bayrak O. 19. Emersonn 1. Ozcimen A. (G) 54. Secgin E. (G) 6. Victor Hugo 45. Yildirim E.
Coaches
Avci M. A.	Stoilov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Kanatsizkus K. ⚽,
9', 0 - 2, Nielsen L. ⚽, Tijanic D. (A),
24', Celik I. 🟨,
26', Aydogan T. 🟨,
27', Demirbag O. ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
27', Ersoy B. ↓, Alioui N. ↑,
33', 1 - 2, Kol A. ⚽, Alioui N. (A),
42', Sangare N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Dennis A. 🟨,
66', Burak A. 🟨,
69', Kanatsizkus K. ↓, Emersonn ↑,
69', Tijanic D. ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
79', Kol A. ↓, Fougeu B. ↑,
84', Altikardes T. 🟨,
85', Burak A. ↓, Aktas A. ↑,
90+3', Ildiz A. ↓, Bayrak O. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 8).

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 2.

Adana Demirspor is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Göztepe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Göztepe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Göztepe is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Gravillon A. (Knee Injury) Kurtulan A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Göztepe: Bokele M. (Muscle Injury) Djalma Silva (Knee Injury) Miroshi N. (Injury) Solet I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Erdogan D. (Injury) Juan Santos (Muscle Injury) Koybasi I. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 2.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adana Demirspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 3.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adana Demirspor
Turkish Super League
27.04.25	Konyaspor - Adana Demirspor	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Adana Demirspor - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	Eyüpspor - Adana Demirspor	6:0 ✺
04.04.25	Adana Demirspor - Kayserispor	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Sivasspor - Adana Demirspor	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
28.04.25	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	4:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.04.25	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	2:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
19.04.25	Göztepe - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Konyaspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
07.04.25	Göztepe - Gaziantep	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.12.24	Göztepe - Adana Demirspor	3:1
22.05.22	Adana Demirspor - Göztepe	7:0
26.12.21	Göztepe - Adana Demirspor	1:1
Turkish First League
22.04.17	Göztepe - Adana Demirspor	3:2
02.04.16	Adana Demirspor - Göztepe	2:1
29.10.15	Göztepe - Adana Demirspor	1:3
05.05.13	Adana Demirspor - Göztepe	1:0

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