Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Addis Ababa Ketema		Sebeta City

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.25	4.33
	1.75	3.1	4.6
	1.72	3.3	4.4
	1.73	3.3	4.31
	1.76	3.24	4.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.25)	3.24 ↑ (2.66)	4.46 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Addis Ababa Ketema
51.9%

Draw
27.8%

Sebeta City
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.6%

32.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

33.4%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Addis Ababa Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Addis Ababa Ketema's performance.

Sebeta City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebeta City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Addis Ababa Ketema than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Addis Ababa Ketema that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebeta City than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebeta City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

Addis Ababa Ketema - Sebeta City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Addis Ababa Ketema will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Sebeta City will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Addis Ababa Ketema: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Addis Ababa Ketema could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Addis Ababa Ketema is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Addis Ababa Ketema won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Addis Ababa Ketema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
20.06.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:1 ✺
15.06.22	Welayta Dicha - Addis Ababa Ketema	0:1 ✺
21.05.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Jimma Aba Jifar	1:1 ✺
17.05.22	Addis Ababa Ketema - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
13.05.22	Hawassa City - Addis Ababa Ketema	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTTT
- Sebeta City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
20.06.22	Sebeta City - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
16.06.22	Sebeta City - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Adama City - Sebeta City	3:0 ✺
18.05.22	Wolkite Kenema - Sebeta City	1:2 ✺
11.05.22	Sebeta City - Jimma Aba Jifar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
15.02.22	Sebeta City - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:5

Addis Ababa Ketema - Sebeta City