The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sebeta City 12.7%
Draw 22.9%
Fasil Kenema 64.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.6%
26.8%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.6%
25.5%
56.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebeta City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebeta City's form might have worsened.
Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fasil Kenema's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebeta City than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebeta City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
41.7%
50%
Sebeta City - Fasil Kenema Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sebeta City will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fasil Kenema: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)).
Recent matches Sebeta City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fasil Kenema in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Fasil Kenema is certain favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Sebeta City won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Sebeta City won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.