Match Info

SA State League - Round 21

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Adelaide Blue Eagles		Sturt Lions

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.7
	2.3	3.65	2.48
	2.44	3.8	2.5
	2.44	3.71	2.49	Watch
	2.27	3.72	2.5
	2.77	3.55	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.74)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	2.48 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Blue Eagles
38.3%

Draw
24.9%

Sturt Lions
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

24.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.1%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Blue Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Blue Eagles's performance.

Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturt Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Blue Eagles than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Blue Eagles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturt Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Sturt Lions is Qualified for SA State League (Play Offs Semi~finals)

Recent form of Blue Eagles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sturt Lions is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Blue Eagles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Blue Eagles won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Blue Eagles
Australian SA State League
02.08.25	Adelaide Cobras - Adelaide Blue Eagles	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Pontian Eagles	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Fulham United - Adelaide Blue Eagles	4:2 ✺
05.07.25	Adelaide Blue Eagles - South Adelaide Panthers	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Cove - Adelaide Blue Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Sturt Lions
Australian SA State League
02.08.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Vipers	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Adelaide Olympic - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Sturt Lions - Cumberland United	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	West Adelaide - Sturt Lions	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Adelaide Cobras - Sturt Lions	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
17.05.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Blue Eagles	1:3
01.06.24	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions	1:4
Australian NPL South Australian
17.08.21	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Blue Eagles	1:1
01.05.21	Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions	2:3

Adelaide Blue Eagles - Sturt Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide