Match Info
SA State League - Round 16Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday
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Adelaide Cobras |
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Sturt Lions |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.6 |
3.8 |
1.72 |
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3.55 |
4.12 |
1.74 |
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Watch |
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3.25 |
4 |
1.8 |
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3.8 |
3.98 |
1.71 |
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5.79 |
4.2 |
1.45 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4 ↓ (7.16) |
4.02 ↓ (4.65) |
1.68 ↑ (1.34) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Adelaide Cobras 22.9% | Draw 22.8% | Sturt Lions 54.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Cobras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Cobras's performance.Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sturt Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Cobras than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Cobras that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+15.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sturt Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Adelaide Cobras - Sturt Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Munro N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).Adelaide Cobras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Sturt Lions is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Recently, Adelaide Cobras has had a series of away games. In this match, Sturt Lions is considered a favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Cobras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).Including home match between the teams, Adelaide Cobras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian SA State League | | | 05.04.25 | Sturt Lions - Adelaide Cobras | 2:1 | | 10.08.24 | Adelaide Cobras - Sturt Lions | 2:1 | | 18.05.24 | Sturt Lions - Adelaide Cobras | 3:2 |
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