Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 11

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday


	Adelaide United U23		Modbury Jets

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.2	3.25
	1.75	4.5	3.3
	1.78	4.96	3.37
	1.79	4.81	3.35	Watch
	1.83	4.2	3.2
	1.74	4.55	3.29
	1.75	4.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)	4.53 ↓ (4.67)	3.29 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United U23
51.7%

Draw
20.3%

Modbury Jets
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

19.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

18.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide United U23's performance.

Modbury Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Modbury Jets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United U23 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modbury Jets than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Adelaide United U23 - Modbury Jets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Burkitt B. ⚽,
90+2', Talladira F. 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Adelaide United U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Adelaide United U23 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 3:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United U23
Australian NPL South Australian
18.05.25	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide City	3:1 ✺
10.05.25	Adelaide United U23 - Playford City Patriots	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	Campbelltown City - Adelaide United U23	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Adelaide United U23 - West Torrens Birkalla	6:2 ✺
12.04.25	Para Hills Knights - Adelaide United U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWT
- Modbury Jets
Australian NPL South Australian
16.05.25	Modbury Jets - Playford City Patriots	4:2 ✺
09.05.25	West Torrens Birkalla - Modbury Jets	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	FK Beograd - Modbury Jets	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Modbury Jets - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
17.08.24	Modbury Jets - Adelaide United U23	3:2 ET
01.06.24	Modbury Jets - Adelaide United U23	4:4

Adelaide United U23 - Modbury Jets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide