Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Modbury Jets		North Eastern MetroStars

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.9	1.7
	3.85	4	1.69	Watch
	4.01	4.05	1.75
	4	4.12	1.75	Watch
	4	3.75	1.75
	4.01	3.95	1.68	Watch
	3.85	4	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↓ (4.65)	3.97 ↓ (5)	1.72 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modbury Jets
23.2%

Draw
23.2%

North Eastern MetroStars
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

18.1%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

17.8%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modbury Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

North Eastern MetroStars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Eastern MetroStars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modbury Jets than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Eastern MetroStars than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Eastern MetroStars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Modbury (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Modbury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
64', 0 - 1, Windsor O. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Schimizzi F. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, McNamara N. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modbury won 1.

Modbury has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

MetroStars has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

MetroStars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, MetroStars is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Modbury won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Modbury won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modbury Jets
Australian NPL South Australian
25.04.25	FK Beograd - Modbury Jets	2:0 ✺
11.04.25	Modbury Jets - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Adelaide City - Modbury Jets	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Modbury Jets - Campbelltown City	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Para Hills Knights - Modbury Jets	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTLL
- North Eastern MetroStars
Australian NPL South Australian
26.04.25	North Eastern MetroStars - Playford City Patriots	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	West Torrens Birkalla - North Eastern MetroStars	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Adelaide United U23 - North Eastern MetroStars	3:3 ✺
22.03.25	FK Beograd - North Eastern MetroStars	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	North Eastern MetroStars - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
14.06.24	Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars	1:1
22.03.24	North Eastern MetroStars - Modbury Jets	1:1
02.09.23	North Eastern MetroStars - Modbury Jets	0:3
25.08.23	Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars	2:3
11.08.23	Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars	0:1
06.05.23	North Eastern MetroStars - Modbury Jets	5:1
03.10.20	Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars	1:5

Modbury Jets - North Eastern MetroStars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide