Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL SOUTH AUSTRALIAN - ROUND 22

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday


	Adelaide United Youth		West Adelaide

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.1
	1.65	4	3.7
	1.76	4.57	3.65
	1.6	3.9	4.33
	1.65	4.25	4.1
	1.55	4.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.51)	4.24 ↓ (4.35)	4.03 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United Youth
55.7%

Draw
21.6%

West Adelaide
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.9%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

16.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

West Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United Youth than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide United Youth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Adelaide United Youth - West Adelaide Predictions

Users Predictions: Adelaide United Youth will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australian (Play Offs: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide United Youth won 4.

Adelaide United Youth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

West Adelaide has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Adelaide United Youth is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Adelaide United Youth won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide United Youth won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United Youth
Australian NPL South Australian
05.08.23	Croydon - Adelaide United Youth	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Adelaide United Youth - Campbelltown City	1:3 ✺
07.07.23	FK Beograd - Adelaide United Youth	3:0 ✺
01.07.23	Adelaide United Youth - North Eastern MetroStars	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	Modbury Jets - Adelaide United Youth	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL
- West Adelaide SC
Australian NPL South Australian
05.08.23	West Adelaide - South Adelaide Panthers	0:1 ✺
15.07.23	West Adelaide - Adelaide Comets	2:2 ✺
08.07.23	Croydon - West Adelaide	3:1 ✺
01.07.23	West Adelaide - Campbelltown City	0:3 ✺
16.06.23	FK Beograd - West Adelaide	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
06.05.23	West Adelaide - Adelaide United Youth	2:2
29.06.19	West Adelaide - Adelaide United Youth	0:3
16.03.19	Adelaide United Youth - West Adelaide	4:2
29.07.18	Adelaide United Youth - West Adelaide	2:1
28.04.18	West Adelaide - Adelaide United Youth	1:4
08.07.17	West Adelaide - Adelaide United Youth	2:1
01.04.17	Adelaide United Youth - West Adelaide	3:1

Adelaide United Youth - West Adelaide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide