Match Info

SA State League - Round 9

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	West Adelaide		South Adelaide Panthers

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	5.5
	1.37	5	5.8
	1.36	5.54	5.88
	1.39	5.31	5.51
	1.32	5.2	6.72
	1.37	5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)	5.13 ↓ (5.5)	5.87 ↓ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Adelaide
66.7%

Draw
17.8%

South Adelaide Panthers
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

16.4%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

15.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Adelaide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

South Adelaide Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Adelaide than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Adelaide, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

West Adelaide - South Adelaide Panthers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 3.

Recent performances by West Adelaide have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

South Adelaide's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

West Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, West Adelaide is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, West Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, West Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- West Adelaide SC
Australian SA State League
03.05.25	Cumberland United - West Adelaide	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	West Adelaide - Cove	7:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	West Adelaide - Salisbury United	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Adelaide Cobras - West Adelaide	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLW
- South Adelaide Panthers
Australian SA State League
02.05.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Cove	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Salisbury United - South Adelaide Panthers	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Blue Eagles	1:4 ✺
04.04.25	Adelaide Vipers - South Adelaide Panthers	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Olympic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
05.08.23	West Adelaide - South Adelaide Panthers	0:1
29.04.23	South Adelaide Panthers - West Adelaide	1:1
27.07.19	West Adelaide - South Adelaide Panthers	4:1
27.04.19	South Adelaide Panthers - West Adelaide	1:2
07.07.18	South Adelaide Panthers - West Adelaide	1:4
31.03.18	West Adelaide - South Adelaide Panthers	4:1
30.07.16	South Adelaide Panthers - West Adelaide	0:1

West Adelaide - South Adelaide Panthers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide