Match Info

SA State League - Round 9

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday


	Adelaide Vipers		Sturt Lions

	1	X	2
	5	4.75	1.42
	5.2	4.8	1.42
	5.3	5.25	1.43
	5.04	5.17	1.44
	5.52	4.9	1.4
	5.2	4.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.21 ↑ (5.17)	4.95 ↓ (5)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Vipers
17.5%

Draw
18.4%

Sturt Lions
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

18.1%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

17.9%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Adelaide Vipers have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sturt Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Vipers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Adelaide Vipers - Sturt Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
72', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Vipers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sturt Lions is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Sturt Lions is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vipers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Vipers FC
Australian SA State League
03.05.25	Adelaide Cobras - Adelaide Vipers	3:1 ✺
26.04.25	Adelaide Vipers - Pontian Eagles	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Fulham United - Adelaide Vipers	3:2 ✺
04.04.25	Adelaide Vipers - South Adelaide Panthers	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Cove - Adelaide Vipers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLWL
- Sturt Lions
Australian SA State League
03.05.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Olympic	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Cumberland United - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Cobras	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Pontian Eagles - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian SA State League
29.06.24	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Vipers	4:2

Adelaide Vipers - Sturt Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide