Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Adriese		Bassano Virtus

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.15	3.45
	1.83	3.40	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.22	3.5
	2.01	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.82)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	3.59 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adriese
46.7%

Draw
28%

Bassano Virtus
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

27.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adriese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Bassano Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bassano Virtus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Adriese - Bassano Virtus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Fasolo G. (Pen),
62', 0 - 2, Moro N. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

Adriese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bassano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bassano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Adriese is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Adriese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Adriese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Adriese
Italian Serie D - Group C
09.11.25	Adriese - Vigasio	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Portogruaro Summaga - Adriese	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Adriese - Mestre	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Este - Adriese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Adriese - San Luigi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW
- Bassano Virtus
Italian Serie D - Group C
08.11.25	Bassano Virtus - Este	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vigasio - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Bassano Virtus - Conegliano	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mestre - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	San Luigi - Bassano Virtus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
01.03.25	Bassano Virtus - Adriese	1:2
27.10.24	Adriese - Bassano Virtus	1:1
28.01.24	Adriese - Bassano Virtus	0:1
01.10.23	Bassano Virtus - Adriese	0:3

Adriese - Bassano Virtus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide