Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday


	Adriese		Mestre

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.98	3.2
	1.97	3.06	3.86	Watch
	2.22	2.97	3.21
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.97)	3 ↓ (3.06)	3.51 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adriese
43.6%

Draw
30.4%

Mestre
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.9%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

29.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adriese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Adriese - Mestre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 0 - 3, ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, ⚽,
89', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adriese won 3.

Adriese is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mestre's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Adriese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Adriese won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adriese won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Adriese - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Adriese
Italian Serie D - Group C
19.10.25	Este - Adriese	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Adriese - San Luigi	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Conegliano - Adriese	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Obermais - Adriese	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Adriese - Treviso	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL
- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
22.10.25	Vigasio - Mestre	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Mestre - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Luparense - Mestre	0:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group C
05.10.25	Mestre - Portogruaro Summaga	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
06.04.25	Mestre - Adriese	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie D
06.11.24	Adriese - Mestre	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group C
14.04.24	Adriese - Mestre	5:0
03.12.23	Mestre - Adriese	1:1
30.04.23	Adriese - Mestre	3:2
17.12.22	Mestre - Adriese	0:3
20.02.22	Mestre - Adriese	2:1

Adriese - Mestre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide