Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Luparense		Mestre

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.92	2.3
	2.93	2.99	2.4
	2.93	2.92	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)	2.94 ↓ (2.98)	2.37 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luparense
30.8%

Draw
30.8%

Mestre
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.9%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luparense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mestre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luparense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Mestre aligns with the current prediction.

Luparense - Mestre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Bangal F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Visinoni N. ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, Corti A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Luparense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luparense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Luparense	6	4	2	0	14:3	11	14
4	Mestre	6	2	4	0	9:6	3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Luparense - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.58%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luparense FC
Italian Serie D - Group C
02.04.26	Obermais - Luparense	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Luparense - San Luigi	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Treviso - Luparense	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Luparense - Altavilla	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Luparense - Legnago Salus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TTWTL
- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
02.04.26	Mestre - Brian Lignano	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Union Clodiense - Mestre	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Mestre - Campodarsego	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Calvi Noale - Mestre	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Mestre - Adriese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
30.11.25	Mestre - Luparense	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Luparense - Mestre	0:1 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group C
23.03.25	Mestre - Luparense	1:2
14.01.24	Mestre - Luparense	2:0
17.09.23	Luparense - Mestre	1:2
01.04.23	Luparense - Mestre	4:1
20.11.22	Mestre - Luparense	0:0

Luparense - Mestre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide