Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG WHITE GROUP - ROUND 32

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Adıyaman		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.1	1.37
	9	4.2	1.36
	8.69	4.1	1.39
	8.69	4.11	1.39
	8.5	4.2	1.35
	7.8	3.95	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.32 ↑ (5.09)	4.11 ↑ (3.43)	1.37 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adıyaman
11%

Draw
22.3%

Serik Belediyespor
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

27%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.3%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adıyaman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adıyaman's form might have worsened.

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serik Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adıyaman than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adıyaman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Adıyaman - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Adıyaman will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Cakmak H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, Turk U. M. (Pen),
75', 1 - 2, Toptan E. ⚽,

Preview

Adıyaman has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Serik Belediyespor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Serik Belediyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Serik Belediyespor is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Adıyaman won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adıyaman FK
Turkish Second League White Group
10.03.24	Bucaspor 1928 - Adıyaman	3:2 ✺
06.03.24	Adıyaman - Bursaspor	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Ankara Demirspor - Adıyaman	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Adıyaman - Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Altınordu - Adıyaman	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
17.03.24	Serik Belediyespor - Bucaspor 1928	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Bursaspor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
06.03.24	Serik Belediyespor - Ankara Demirspor	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Serik Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Serik Belediyespor - Altınordu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
12.11.23	Serik Belediyespor - Adıyaman	0:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.11.22	Serik Belediyespor - Adıyaman	3:2

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