Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig White Group - Round 35

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Zafer Stadı (Afyonkarahisar)


	Afjet Afyonspor		Ankara Demirspor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.45
	2.65	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.57	3.17	2.63
	2.57	3.17	2.63
	2.49	3.15	2.76
	2.65	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (3.36)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	2.6 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afjet Afyonspor
35.4%

Draw
29.4%

Ankara Demirspor
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.3%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.5%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afjet Afyonspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Afjet Afyonspor's performance.

Ankara Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ankara Demirspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afjet Afyonspor than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Afjet Afyonspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ankara Demirspor than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ankara Demirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Cakir B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Erkasap M. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Erkasap M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).

Afjet Afyonspor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ankara Demirspor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Afjet Afyonspor won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Afjet Afyonspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afjet Afyonspor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.04.24	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Afjet Afyonspor	4:0 ✺
03.04.24	Afjet Afyonspor - Altınordu	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Nazillispor - Afjet Afyonspor	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Afjet Afyonspor - Ankaraspor	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Karacabey Belediyespor - Afjet Afyonspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTL
- Ankara Demirspor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.04.24	Ankara Demirspor - Erokspor	0:1 ✺
03.04.24	1461 Trabzon - Ankara Demirspor	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Ankara Demirspor - Zonguldak Kömürspor	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Kırklarelispor - Ankara Demirspor	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ankara Demirspor - Kırşehir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
02.12.23	Ankara Demirspor - Afjet Afyonspor	1:1
18.03.21	Ankara Demirspor - Afjet Afyonspor	1:1
10.01.21	Afjet Afyonspor - Ankara Demirspor	2:2

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