Match Info

Date: 26 January 2022, Wednesday


	Afragolese		Sassari Torres

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.25	2
	3.05	3.1	2.08
	3.48	2.74	2.18
	3.2	2.9	2.1
	3.34	3.08	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.62)	3.03 ↑ (3.01)	2.1 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
27.7%

Draw
29.6%

Sassari Torres
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

21.8%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afragolese's form might have worsened.

Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sassari Torres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sassari Torres could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Afragolese - Sassari Torres Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Afragolese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torres in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Torres will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Afragolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Afragolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.01.22	Afragolese - Nuova Florida	1:2 ✺
22.12.21	Muravera - Afragolese	1:2 ✺
18.12.21	Afragolese - Arzachena	3:1 ✺
12.12.21	Ostia Mare - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
04.12.21	Cynthialbalonga - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLL
- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie D - Group G
23.01.22	Atletico Uri - Sassari Torres	0:3 ✺
29.12.21	Sassari Torres - Vis Artena	0:0 ✺
22.12.21	Sassari Torres - Insieme Formia	4:0 ✺
18.12.21	Latte Dolce - Sassari Torres	2:3 ✺
12.12.21	Sassari Torres - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
10.04.21	Afragolese - Sassari Torres	0:2

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