The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ostia Mare 37.2%
Draw 28.9%
Afragolese 34%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
29.5%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
20.3%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ostia Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afragolese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ostia Mare - Afragolese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).
Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Afragolese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Afragolese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.