Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Afragolese		Savoia

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.65
	4.6	3.45	1.66
	4.8	3.35	1.66
	5.14	3.52	1.72
	3.5	3.4	1.83
	4.64	3.56	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↑ (3.7)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afragolese
20%

Draw
26.5%

Savoia
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.5%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

17.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afragolese's form might have worsened.

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Savoia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afragolese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Savoia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Afragolese - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Afragolese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Savoia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Afragolese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Savoia will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Savoia to win the game is with odds 1.9.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group G
17.02.21	Nuova Monterosi - Afragolese	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Arzachena - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
07.02.21	Afragolese - Insieme Formia	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Nocerina - Afragolese	2:0
31.01.21	Afragolese - Carbonia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group G
28.02.21	Savoia - Vis Artena	0:0 ✺
24.02.21	Nocerina - Savoia	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Savoia - Nuova Monterosi	0:0 ✺
07.02.21	Savoia - Nola	0:0 ✺
03.02.21	Sassari Torres - Savoia	0:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTTT

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