The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arzachena 38.5%
Draw 32.2%
Afragolese 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.8%
31.4%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
29.4%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arzachena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Afragolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Afragolese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Arzachena have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arzachena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Arzachena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.