Match Info

Icelandic Cup - Final

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Laugardalsvöllur (Reykjavík)


	Afturelding		Breiðablik

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.80	2.05
	2.65	3.75	2.08	Watch
	3.00	4.15	2.16
	2.79	4.19	2.12	Watch
	2.80	4.05	2.09
	2.80	4.14	2.13
	2.70	3.90	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.68)	4 ↓ (4.19)	2.11 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
33.2%

Draw
23.1%

Breiðablik
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

22%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

21%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Afturelding - Breiðablik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Afturelding (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Afturelding (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 10. Cogic E. 9. Holtan J. 33. Hoti A. 8. Kooistra B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 4. Sigmarsson G. 7. Sigurdsson K.	1. Einarsson A. (G) 11. Bjarnason A. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 18. Ingvarsson D. 14. Karlsson H. 23. Kristinsson K. 13. Ludviksson A. 21. Margeirsson V. 9. Omarsson O. 4. Orrason A. 99. Ulfarsson T.
Substitutes
17. Brink H. O. 27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 23. Haraldsson A. H. 19. Hugason S. 2. Saevarsson B. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 14. Thorkelsson D. 24. Thrainsson T.	22. Arnarsson J. 5. Arnason I. 8. Einarsson V. 16. Fjeldsted D. 33. Gunnleifsson A. 29. Hallsson G. 19. Jonsson K. 12. Snaeholm G. (G) 10. Steindorsson K.
Coaches
Einarsson M.	Skulason O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Gunnlaugsson H. ⚽,
25', Ludviksson A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 2, Kristinsson K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Saevarsson B. ↑,
65', Bjarkason O. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
69', Sigurdsson K. 🟨,
69', Ingvarsson D. 🟨,
71', Bjarnason A. ↓, Einarsson V. ↑,
71', Ludviksson A. ↓, Jonsson K. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Barkarson B. B. ⚽,
79', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
79', Ulfarsson T. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
87', Margeirsson V. ↓, Arnason I. ↑,
88', Andresson A. 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Afturelding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Breiðablik has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Breiðablik might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Afturelding will win today's game, with odds of 2.88.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Breiðablik - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.61%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Division 1
05.09.26	Njarðvík - Afturelding	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Afturelding - Vestri	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Afturelding - Grótta	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Ægir - Afturelding	0:7 ✺
17.08.26	Afturelding - HK Kópavogur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWWWT
- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.09.26	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Breiðablik - Fram	3:4 ✺
16.08.26	KR Reykjavík - Breiðablik	3:3 ✺
09.08.26	Breiðablik - Valur	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.07.25	Afturelding - Breiðablik	2:2
05.04.25	Breiðablik - Afturelding	2:0
Icelandic League Cup
21.02.20	Afturelding - Breiðablik	1:3

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