Match Info

Division 1 - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Varmárvöllur (Mosfellsbaer)


	Afturelding		Vestri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.17	7.00	9.75
	1.20	6.10	9.00	Watch
	1.17	8.95	13.30
	1.27	6.6	7.83	Watch
	1.12	8.85	13.00
	1.12	8.78	15.50	Watch
	1.15	6.80	10.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.35)	7.58 ↑ (5.05)	11.2 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afturelding
79.4%

Draw
12.3%

Vestri
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.1%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Afturelding's performance.

Vestri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vestri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Afturelding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vestri than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vestri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Afturelding - Vestri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 9. Holtan J. 33. Hoti A. 8. Kooistra B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Saevarsson B. 4. Sigmarsson G. 7. Sigurdsson K.	33. Snaedal B. (G) 6. Balde I. 16. Campos M. 77. Fall S. 22. Gardarsson E. (C) 17. Hauksson G. 23. Hermannsson B. 13. Johannsson A. 5. Payne D. 11. Selven J. 15. Svavarsson G.
Substitutes
10. Cogic E. 27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 19. Hugason S. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 14. Thorkelsson D. 24. Thrainsson T.	1. Djogatovic V. (G) 19. Duah E. 45. Einarsson G. 14. Eydal B. 18. Hagbardsson M. 27. Morfelt C. 12. Phete T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Holtan J. ⚽, Saevarsson A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Kooistra B. 🟨,
65', Bjarkason O. ↓, Hugason S. ↑,
75', Campos M. 🟨,
76', Campos M. ↓, Einarsson G. ↑,
82', Sigurdsson K. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
84', Hugason S. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Kooistra B. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0.

Afturelding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Vestri has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Afturelding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Afturelding is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afturelding
Icelandic Division 1
25.08.26	Afturelding - Grótta	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Ægir - Afturelding	0:7 ✺
17.08.26	Afturelding - HK Kópavogur	2:2 ✺
13.08.26	Fylkir - Afturelding	3:3 ✺
07.08.26	Afturelding - Grindavik	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTW
- IF Vestri
Icelandic Division 1
22.08.26	Vestri - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Völsungur - Vestri	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Vestri - IR Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Njarðvík - Vestri	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Vestri - Grótta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Division 1
21.06.26	Vestri - Afturelding	2:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
19.10.25	Afturelding - Vestri	1:1
06.08.25	Afturelding - Vestri	1:1
10.05.25	Vestri - Afturelding	2:0
Icelandic Division 1
30.09.23	Vestri - Afturelding	1:0 ET
16.08.23	Vestri - Afturelding	2:2
10.06.23	Afturelding - Vestri	3:1

Afturelding - Vestri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide