The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afturelding 59.5%
Draw 19.7%
HK Kópavogur 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
22.8%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
22.5%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Afturelding's performance.
HK Kópavogur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HK Kópavogur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Afturelding that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HK Kópavogur than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HK Kópavogur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Afturelding - HK Kópavogur Predictions
Users Predictions:
Afturelding will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 17. Brink H. O. 9. Holtan J. 19. Hugason S. 8. Kooistra B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C) 2. Saevarsson B. 4. Sigmarsson G.
1. Asgeirsson O. (G) 10. Andrason A. 5. Antonsson T. 8. Atlason A. (C) 22. Baldursson B. 26. Benediktsson V. 6. Jonsson T. 4. Larusson A. 17. Radic D. 3. Styrmisson B. 28. Thorvarsson T.
Substitutes
27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 33. Hoti A. 7. Sigurdsson K. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 14. Thorkelsson D. 24. Thrainsson T.
9. Arnarsson J. 45. Gudmundsson A. 19. Gunnarsson A. 21. Jonsson I. 25. Steinsson A. (G) 16. Thordarson S. 23. Vigfusson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Bjarkason O. ⚽,
11', Andresson A. 🟨,
13', 1 - 1, Baldursson B. ⚽,
41', Antonsson T. 🟨,
45+3', Saevarsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Saevarsson B. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Benediktsson V. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Brink H. O. ⚽,
62', Hugason S. ↓, Sigurdsson K. ↑,
62', Saevarsson B. ↓, Hoti A. ↑,
70', Jonsson T. ↓, Gunnarsson A. ↑,
70', Thorvarsson T. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
76', Styrmisson B. ↓, Jonsson I. ↑,
82', Bjarkason O. 🟨,
83', Brink H. O. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
83', Andrason A. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
84', Hoti A. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0.
Afturelding is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
HK Kópavogur's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Afturelding is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.7:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).