The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Afturelding 71.4%
Draw 15.8%
Leiknir Reykjavík 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
19.4%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.6%
18.7%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Afturelding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Afturelding's performance.
Leiknir Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afturelding than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Afturelding - Leiknir Reykjavík Predictions
Users Predictions:
Afturelding will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johannesson A. (G) 3. Andresson A. 16. Barkarson B. B. 11. Bjarkason O. 25. Bjarnason G. 10. Cogic E. 9. Holtan J. 33. Hoti A. 19. Hugason S. 8. Kooistra B. 6. Saevarsson A. (C)
1. Olafsson O. (G) 33. Agustsson A. 7. Burknason B. 20. Gunnarsson D. 15. Gunnarsson R. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 22. Jonsson T. 55. Kjartansson A. 29. Stefansson G. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
Substitutes
27. Cogic E. 79. Dadason R. 5. Petursson J. 2. Saevarsson B. 4. Sigmarsson G. 85. Sigurkarlsson K. (G) 24. Thrainsson T.
8. Agustsson G. 3. Bogdanovic B. 11. Brynjarsson A. 12. Gorski J. (G) 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 16. Petursson V. 9. Tjorvason J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Holtan J. ⚽, Kooistra B. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Hardarson A. ⚽,
13', Hugason S. 🟨,
18', 2 - 1, Bjarkason O. ⚽, Bjarnason G. (A),
39', Burknason B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 3 - 1, Holtan J. ⚽,
67', Vladisavljevic D. ↓, Bogdanovic B. ↑,
73', Cogic E. ↓, Saevarsson B. ↑,
73', Kooistra B. ↓, Petursson J. ↑,
73', Hugason S. ↓, Cogic E. ↑,
84', Gunnarsson D. ↓, Agustsson G. ↑,
84', Burknason B. ↓, Tjorvason J. ↑,
84', Gunnarsson R. ↓, Brynjarsson A. ↑,
86', Brynjarsson A. 🟨,
90', 3 - 2, Tjorvason J. ⚽,
90+1', Cogic E. ↓, Thrainsson T. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 3.
Afturelding is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Leiknir R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Leiknir R has had a series of home games.
In this match, Afturelding is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Afturelding will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).
Watch
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Johannesson A. (G) 
Holtan J. 
Kooistra B. 
Vladisavljevic D. 
Gorski J. (G) 
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