Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Agareb		Msaken

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.15	4.25
	1.91	3.05	4.16	Watch
	1.92	2.98	4.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	3.06 ↑ (3.02)	4.16 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agareb
48.5%

Draw
29.7%

Msaken
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

30.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

29.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agareb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Msaken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agareb than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Msaken aligns with the current prediction.

Agareb - Msaken Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Salhi H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6).

Agareb is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Msaken is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Agareb may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Agareb is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Agareb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Agareb
Tunisian Ligue 2
27.04.26	Bousalem - Agareb	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Agareb - Bouhajla	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Sporting Ben Arous - Agareb	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Agareb - El Makarem de Mahdia	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Hammam-Lif - Agareb	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 TWWWL
- CS Msaken
Tunisian Ligue 2
27.04.26	Msaken - Sfax Railways	1:3 ✺
22.04.26	Msaken - Hammam-Sousse	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.04.26	Bizertin - Msaken	2:1 penalties ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
13.04.26	Bousalem - Msaken	3:0 ✺
05.04.26	Msaken - Bouhajla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
06.12.25	Msaken - Agareb	0:0

Agareb - Msaken: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide