Match Info

Tunisia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Agareb		Stade Gabèsien

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.37
	2.4	2.98	2.78
	2.34	2.97	2.72
	3.54	2.75	2.27	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.41	2.97	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.12)	2.91 ↑ (2.87)	2.62 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agareb
34.4%

Draw
31%

Stade Gabèsien
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

31.5%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agareb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agareb's form might have worsened.

Stade Gabèsien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stade Gabèsien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agareb than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agareb, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Gabèsien than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stade Gabèsien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Agareb - Stade Gabèsien Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Agareb will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Stade Gabèsien will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Gabèsien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Agareb (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Agareb (votes: 1 - 50%). Stade Gabèsien (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Khaoui A. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Sassi K. ⚽,
29', 0 - 3, Wajdi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 3, Bahri S. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Boussaidi K. ⚽,

Preview

Agareb is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Stade Gabèsien has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Agareb will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Agareb won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Agareb
Tunisian Ligue 2
28.02.26	Agareb - Océano Club de Kerkennah	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Menzel Bourguiba - Agareb	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Agareb - Tataouine	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Mégrine - Agareb	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Agareb - Chebba	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WTWWL
- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
27.02.26	Stade Gabèsien - Sidi Bouzid	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Ariana - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Stade Gabèsien - Jendouba Sport	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Union Ksour Essef - Stade Gabèsien	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Stade Gabèsien - Redeyef	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
08.03.25	Stade Gabèsien - Agareb	0:1

Agareb - Stade Gabèsien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide