Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 1

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Ariana		Stade Gabèsien

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.75	2.60
	2.65	2.72	2.65
	2.45	2.92	2.70
	2.96	2.39	2.96	Watch
	2.50	2.75	2.55
	2.69	2.87	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.55)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	2.71 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana
34%

Draw
32.8%

Stade Gabèsien
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

32.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stade Gabèsien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ariana - Stade Gabèsien Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Khaoui A. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 1 - 1, Louhichi A. ⚽,
84', Meriah H. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ariana has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ariana against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
12.05.26	Moknine - Ariana	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Bouchamma - Ariana	5:0 ✺
11.04.26	Korba - Ariana	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jendouba Sport - Ariana	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Ariana - Union Ksour Essef	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLLTW
- Stade Gabèsien
Tunisian Ligue 2
30.05.26	Hammam-Lif - Stade Gabèsien	3:0 ✺
25.05.26	Stade Gabèsien - Tataouine	2:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
20.05.26	Sfaxien - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ET ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
12.05.26	Djelma - Stade Gabèsien	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Stade Gabèsien - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
21.02.26	Ariana - Stade Gabèsien	2:1
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1

Ariana - Stade Gabèsien: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide