Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 29

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Aglianese		AC Carpi

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.15
	2.75	3.2	2.2
	3.08	3.13	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (2.93)	3.18 ↑ (3.1)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aglianese
30.8%

Draw
28.2%

AC Carpi
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.4%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

29%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

AC Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Aglianese - AC Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Calanca A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Della Pietra V. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Zucchini G. ⚽,

Preview

Aglianese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carpi is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aglianese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Aglianese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.03.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - Aglianese	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Aglianese - Victor San Marino	2:3 ✺
10.03.24	Ravenna - Aglianese	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Aglianese - Lentigione	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Corticella - Aglianese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLLTW
- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.03.24	AC Carpi - Mezzolara	3:0 ✺
17.03.24	AC Carpi - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - AC Carpi	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	AC Carpi - Corticella	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Victor San Marino - AC Carpi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
19.11.23	AC Carpi - Aglianese	1:0
08.02.23	AC Carpi - Aglianese	2:0
05.10.22	Aglianese - AC Carpi	1:0

Aglianese - AC Carpi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide