Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	AC Carpi		Mezzolara

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.1	6.75
	1.41	4.12	6.46
	1.41	4.12	6.46
	1.44	3.75	6
	1.39	4.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 (1.41)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	6.57 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AC Carpi
64.1%

Draw
22.2%

Mezzolara
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

21.6%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AC Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AC Carpi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Rossini M. ⚽,
84', 2 - 0, Saporetti S. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Verza N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Carpi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mezzolara is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Carpi is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Carpi to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carpi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Carpi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Carpi
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.03.24	AC Carpi - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Sangiuliano City Nova - AC Carpi	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	AC Carpi - Corticella	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Victor San Marino - AC Carpi	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	AC Carpi - SantAngelo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWTW
- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.03.24	Mezzolara - Corticella	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Victor San Marino - Mezzolara	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Mezzolara - SantAngelo	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Lentigione - Mezzolara	3:2 ✺
18.02.24	Mezzolara - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
12.11.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:4
08.01.23	Mezzolara - AC Carpi	0:1
04.09.22	AC Carpi - Mezzolara	3:1

AC Carpi - Mezzolara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide