Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Aglianese		Scandicci

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.9	4
	1.55	3.95	4.6
	1.7	3.6	4.17
	1.69	3.72	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.41)	3.79 ↓ (4.32)	4.24 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aglianese
54.9%

Draw
23.8%

Scandicci
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

19.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aglianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aglianese's form might have worsened.

Scandicci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Scandicci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aglianese than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aglianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scandicci than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Scandicci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aglianese - Scandicci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Aglianese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Scandicci is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Aglianese is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aglianese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aglianese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aglianese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.22	Correggese - Aglianese	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Aglianese - Sammaurese	0:3 ✺
09.10.22	Cavenago Fanfulla - Aglianese	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Aglianese - AC Carpi	1:0 ✺
28.09.22	Aglianese - Crema	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWWW
- Scandicci Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.10.22	Scandicci - SantAngelo	3:2 ✺
16.10.22	Corticella - Scandicci	3:2 ✺
09.10.22	Sammaurese - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
05.10.22	Scandicci - Crema	0:0 ✺
28.09.22	Scandicci - Forlì	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
23.02.20	Scandicci - Aglianese	0:0
20.10.19	Aglianese - Scandicci	3:0
24.02.19	Aglianese - Scandicci	1:2
04.11.18	Scandicci - Aglianese	3:0

Aglianese - Scandicci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide